Disney
and
the largest cable operators saw their share prices take a hit on
Thursday as investors seemed to renew concerns about long-term trends
in the traditional media sector.
Disney
shares were down as much as 5% after CEO Bob Iger announced during
the Bank of America Merrill Lynch investor conference in Beverly
Hills, Calif., that the studio has decided to include its Marvel and
“Star Wars” movie titles in the subscription entertainment
service that it is planning to launch in the U.S. by the end of 2019.
The new service will take the place of the traditional pay TV window
for Disney film titles.
Disney
ended the day down 4.4%, or $4.46, to close at $97.04.
Meanwhile,
cable shares were also hammered by news of the past 24
hours. Comcast executive
Matthew Strauss, also speaking at the Bank of America conference,
acknowledged that video subscribers would be down for the quarter by
100,000-150,000. That sent Comcast shares down 6.2%, to close at
$38.60, marking the biggest one-day drop in six years, per CNBC.
Shares
in Comcast rivals Charter Communications
and Altice USA also took a hit. The cable drop was also likely
exacerbated by a report issued Wednesday evening by Moody’s
Investor Service casting doubt on the plausibility of Charter being
acquired by a telco or tech giant because of the debt load that would
accompany any transaction. Charter, the second-largest cable operator
behind Comcast, has been the subject of takeover talk on Wall Street
in recent months amid chatter that Verizon was eyeing the company.
Charter
shares were down 1.7% at closing to $395.64. Altice fell 3.4% to
$29.26.
Wells
Fargo analyst Marci Ryvicker said the surprise news from Comcast had
a ripple effect across the sector, even as Comcast executives
reaffirmed their financial targets for the quarter and 2017 overall.
Concerns about subscriber losses from storm-battered areas in Texas
and Florida only adds to the uncertainty, she said in a research
note.
“We
think (Comcast’s) comments on Q3 subs are moving the stocks more
than anything else,” Ryvicker wrote. “Unfortunately we don’t
know how much is competition and how much is weather. And no one
seems to care about the financials at the moment.”
Disney’s
volatility proved a drag on other media stocks, although not to the
same degree. Fox was off 2.2% ($25.38), Viacom fell 3.6% ($27.20),
and CBS dipped 2.1% ($60.50). Time Warner weathered the turbulence
with a less than 1% drop but AT&T, which is in the process of
acquiring TW, slid 2.7% ($35.60).
The
reaction to Disney’s decision to revamp its pay TV theatrical
window strategy largely
reflected skepticism that
even the biggest media companies can go it alone with
direct-to-consumer services.
The
ability to license theatrical releases for a pay TV window on a
premium cabler has historically been a big component of film profits
for all but the biggest blockbusters. Netflix has been paying Disney
an estimated $300 million a year for those rights. Disney and other
media companies have to balance the loss of that considerable
licensing revenue against the costs of building a proprietary service
that also has to be stocked with some original programming.
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