Season's biggest
trend: comedy's rise
Reality
veterans see ratings erode, however
By Rick
Kissell
Primetime's top
skeins suffered a more pronounced spring swoon than usual this year, but the
television season that ends tonight produced a pretty good ratings story for the
Big Four broadcasters -- especially CBS.
The Eye made Fox
sweat for its victory in 18-49 this season, finishing close behind while
prevailing in adults 25-54 and winning by a big margin in total viewers. CBS and
NBC were the nets on the rise this season, with Fox down nearly 10% compared to
2010-11 and ABC flat or off slightly in most categories.
The biggest
trends this season were the rise of comedy and the decline in popularity for
most reality vets, notably Fox's "American Idol" and ABC's "Dancing With the
Stars."
From a
big-picture standpoint, when full-week DVR playback viewing stats are included,
the major networks combined to retain 99% of their year-ago audience in both
adults 18-49 and total viewers. So while the ratings may not have always looked
great the next morning, digital video recorders -- now in 45% of homes
nationally -- continue to be a panacea for the networks.
As for bragging
rights, Fox finishes on top in adults 18-49 for an eighth straight season, but a
rising CBS held at second for a sixth straight year and had its most competitive
finish yet, trailing by just two-tenths of a point. The Eye also won outright in
its target demo of adults 25-54 for the first time in five years. CBS also
logged its ninth total-viewers victory in 10 seasons, winning by the largest
margin for any network in 23 years (nearly 3 million ahead of Fox).
NBC, benefiting
from the Super Bowl and midseason hit "The Voice," appears to have finished
ahead of ABC for third place in 18-49, leading by one-tenth of a ratings point.
The two nets tied a couple of years ago, but this would mark the first time
since the 2003-04 season that the Peacock has bested one of its Big Four
rivals.
NBC saw the
biggest growth in 18-49 (9%), while CBS was up 3%. ABC will finish down 4% while
Fox figures to come in down about 10%.
(Final numbers,
including the last two days of the season and then full-week DVR playback stats,
won't be available until June.)
The hottest show
of the 2011-12 campaign was CBS' Thursday anchor "The Big Bang Theory," which
finishes just a smidge behind ABC's "Modern Family" as TV's No. 1 scripted show
in 18-49 and is tops among laffers in total viewers. The Eye's other big
returning comedies -- "How I Met Your Mother," "Two and a Half Men" (with new
lead Ashton Kutcher) and "Mike and Molly" -- also spiked, as did ABC's "Modern
Family" in its third year.
Overall,
comedies accounted for six of the top 10 programs in 18-49. CBS' "2 Broke Girls"
is the season's top-rated newcomer in 18-49, while Fox's new half-hour "New
Girl" finished as TV's No. 2 scripted show overall in 18-34 (close behind
"Modern Family"), and ABC's "Suburgatory" had a solid rookie run.
The nets are
certainly more confident about comedy these days, readying 28 half-hours for
fall -- up from 20 a year ago and 16 just two years ago.
As for reality
shows, "The Voice" on NBC and "The X Factor" on Fox were nice additions to the
lineups, helping the genre compensate for significant ratings tumbles for
"American Idol" (down 30% in adults 18-49 from last season) and "Dancing With
the Stars" (down 27%).
Also down by
double digits were ABC's "The Bachelor" and NBC's "The Biggest Loser." CBS'
"Survivor" and "Amazing Race," older than the rest of the current unscripted
pack, continued their more gradual declines (each off 7%).
NBC's "Sunday
Night Football" ended "American Idol's" eight-season streak as the No. 1 program
in 18-49, though "Idol" still stands as the No. 1 entertainment series. The Fox
vet, whose finale is tonight, was tied through Sunday with NBC's "The Voice"
(whose average included its post-Super Bowl airing) as the No. 2-ranked program
in the demo.
How crowded did
the reality field get this season? The song-and-dance competition genre alone
(six series) accounted for 226.5 hours of primetime real estate on the Big Four
this season, more than double the volume of just three years ago, when "American
Idol" and "Dancing With the Stars" were the only offerings. Not surprisingly,
both "Idol" and "Dancing" are wrapping their lowest-rated seasons in a year in
which they also produced their most hours of programming (61.5 for "Dancing" and
58.5 for "Idol").
Spanish-lingo
broadcaster Univision also had an eventful season. It solidified its standing as
the No. 5 broadcaster in all categories, beating CW in both adults 18-49 and
18-34 on every night they went head to head. It also beat NBC in 18-49 on more
than half the nights (128 of 245).
Other positives
for Univision include its young median age (36) and the fact that 94% of viewing
for its programs is done live.
Here are some
other notes for the Big Four and CW:
Fox
"Idol" may have
lost a step this season, but it and newcomer "X Factor" made for a powerful
seasonlong Wednesday-Thursday tandem for the net. Also helping was "New Girl,"
which tied ABC's "Once Upon a Time" as the No. 2 new scripted show in 18-49 and
became the biggest DVR gainer among all rookies.
Biggest need for
Fox is in the scripted hour department, as "House" has exited after eight
seasons, "Glee" has faded, and rookie dramas "Alcatraz," "Terra Nova," "The
Finder" and "Touch" all underwhelmed.
CBS
In a year when
auds were looking for laughs, the Eye dominated in comedy with six of the top 10
half-hours in 18-49. And overall, CBS claimed more top 25 shows in both 18-49
(nine) and 25-54 (11) than any other network.
CBS introduced
the season's No. 1 new show in 18-49 ("2 Broke Girls"), while "Person of
Interest" emerged as the No. 1 newbie in total viewers.
But perhaps the
best news for the net was the performance of its returning shows. Along with the
vet comedies, core dramas "NCIS," "Hawaii Five-0" and "Criminal Minds" all
virtually matched their year-ago deliveries.
"NCIS" handily
beat Fox's "Glee" in 18-49 on Tuesdays, after the reverse was true just last
season. It also will likely finish just a bit behind "American Idol" as the
most-watched entertainment series -- the third straight year that it's led all
other scripted shows in total viewers.
NBC
"The Voice"
provided a much-needed boost and helped launch drama "Smash," which did well
enough to earn a sophomore season.
But NBC still
needs more help. "The Office" was its No. 1 scripted series, but it finished
outside the top 25 for the season and was down 15% year to year.
One plus for NBC
was its overall younger skew, aided by an infusion of 18- to 34-year-olds for
"The Voice." NBC was the only Big Four net up in adults 18-34 and, as a result,
finished the season second to Fox in the demo.
ABC
The net has TV's
top comedy ("Modern Family") and drama ("Grey's Anatomy") in 18-49 but needs to
fill in more of the blanks on its sked to compete with Fox and CBS.
Among new shows,
Sunday rookie "Once Upon a Time" finished as the top rookie drama in 18-49 on
any net in the past four seasons, while Wednesday series "Suburgatory" and
"Revenge" were renewed after good first seasons. "Revenge" helped ABC stand as
the only net to improve upon its 10 p.m. weekday perf of last year in 25-54 (the
key demo for late local news).
A less heralded
success was Friday's "Shark Tank," which spiked nicely from last year and was
the night's top show in 18-49 down the stretch.
And "Modern
Family" again set DVR playback records, adding an average of 2.5 demo ratings
points and 4.8 million viewers overall when comparing same-night to full-week
numbers.
CW
It was a
struggle for the netlet, with all five nights seeing declines.
Echoing the
dropoffs for the Big Four reality vets, "America's Next Top Model" was down
sharply, and Friday suffered without "Smallville," which wrapped a year
ago.
Vet
"Supernatural" is still doing well, and among new shows, "Hart of Dixie" showed
some spark and will return to anchor CW's Tuesday this fall.
Hey Jerry, thanks for the breakdown of all the networks, as a TV lover, that was a huge help. This was a great year for TV, but at times there almost seemed to be too many good shows on, all at once. Until I signed up as an employee beta tester for Dish and got the Hopper, I had to miss shows due to timer conflicts and DVR scheduling problems. With prime-Time Anytime though, I’m able to pick up all the shows I love; 30Rock, Community, Modern Family, How I Met Your Mother, Mike and Molly, Two and a Half Men, Parenthood, American Idol, everything. Even better, now that I have Auto Hop, I’m able to watch my shows the day after they air with the choice of having the commercials automatically skipped over. Love it. As for next year? I’m really looking forward to the new season of Parks and Rec, and more than anything the new season of Community (though without Dan Harmon on board, I’m not sure what to expect.”
ReplyDelete